【最新】澳聯儲公布11月會議紀要

Reserve Bank of Australia minutes from the November monetary policy board meeting

• Board judged steady policy consistent with inflation, growth goals
• "Considerable uncertainty" on how quickly wages might pick up, add to inflation
• Pass-through to inflation could be delayed by many factors including retail competition
• Competitive pressures on retail margins and costs expected to last for some while
• Board discussed global trend of wages growth lagging unemployment
• Any further rise in A$ would slow expected pick-up in inflation, economy
• Local labour market had been surprisingly strong, above-average jobs growth likely to continue
• Rising participation meant jobless rate to fall only slightly to 5.25 pct by end 2019
• RBA saw more upside risks to non-mining business investment, infrastructure spending a boost
• RBA expected GDP growth of around 3 pct over next few years, subdued productivity
• Noted importance of data and "evidence-based policymaking" in lifting productivity
• Housing market had eased in all major cities, still relatively strong in Melbourne

多數機構認為11月澳聯儲會議紀要並無新意，對於inflation和wage increase的擔憂，可以延續低利率政策至2018年，甚至2019年。而且降息可能重燃。

會議紀要公布後澳元短線下挫至7530。如下圖Molecular Matrix

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